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Liberals Expected to Win, NDP
NDP’s campaign thought to be the best, Liberals just behind
Toronto, May 2nd
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1067
British Columbia voters, the Liberals (37%) and the NDP (36%) are virtually
tied for who BC Voters expect to win on May 9th, with the Liberals having
a slight edge over their opposition. Few (5%) think the Green Party has a
chance at winning, and (22%) are not ready to make a prediction and responded
do not know.
likely to say that the Liberals will win include those aged 65+ (50%), males
(41%), the most wealthy (52%), with some college/university (42%), and living
in Vancouver/Lower Mainland (39%).
likely to say the NDP will in include those aged 34 or younger (45%) or 35-44
(42%), earning $60,000-$80,000 (46%) or $80,000-$100,000 (48%), with a post-graduate
degree (42%), and living on Vancouver Island.
NDP campaign statistically tied with Liberals
When asked which
party was running the best campaign, irrespective of their own voting
intentions, the NDP (27%) and the Liberals (25%) were statistically tied, with
the Green party (19%) nearby, but still behind the two leading parties. Almost
a third, (29%) responded they do not know who is running the best campaign.
"The NDP and
Liberals are fighting for the lead in public perception, and right now it appears
the public is split on who’s leading on that front. There’s still a few days of
campaigning left to go, which is plenty of time for a shift, and this looks
like another campaign that could well be decided on the final weekend," said
Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
firstname.lastname@example.org or at (416) 960-9603.